Forecast EU Will Be In Recession by Sept. 20, 2012; Ireland Will Be Spared

This is from four (4) years ago. On Sept. 3, 2012 I predicted the EU will be in recession by Sept. 20 or 21, 2012 except Ireland.

By Aug. 30, 2016 here’s the news:

UPDATE 30 AUGUST 2016

Why Ireland Doesn’t Want Apple’s $14.5 Billion in Back Taxes Aug. 30, 2016
By Dara Doyle and Peter Flanagan – August 30, 2016 — 6:37 AM PDT

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-30/why-ireland-doesn-t-want-apple-s-14-5-billion-in-back-taxes

Apple’s $14.5 Billion unpaid EU taxes: Press conference and Q&A by Margrethe Vestager Published on Aug 30, 2016

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-n11tM-kX94

Press conference and Q&A by Margrethe Vestager, member of the European Commission in charge of Competition, where it is explained that Apple paid a 1% tax rate in 2003 down to a 0.005% tax rate on their profits in 2014 for all Apple sales in Europe, Africa, the Middle-east and India. 8 years ago, I video-blogged for Magrethe Vestager’s political party in Denmark: http://youtube.com/radikaletv

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EU: Apple’s Tax Benefits in Ireland Are Illegal

World’s richest company ordered to pay Irish record amount

Ireland seeks to protect its corporate tax reputation

Apple’s billions in back taxes could cover the entire annual Irish health budget, build about 100,000 homes for the poor or pay off a chunk of the nation’s debt. So why doesn’t the government want the money?

Irish Finance Minister Michael Noonan on Tuesday vowed to fight a European Commission ruling that could force the world’s richest company to pay it at least 13 billion euros ($14.5 billion), more than twice the country’s entire 2015 corporate tax take and equivalent to about $3,000 for every man, woman and child. He drew fire from opposition lawmakers who say Dublin should take the money. For the government, though, the stakes are higher.

The country’s corporate tax regime is a cornerstone of its economic policy, attracting Google Inc. and Facebook Inc. to Dublin. Even when Ireland was forced to seek an international bailout six years ago, it resisted pressure to change how it taxes companies. While the Apple ruling doesn’t directly threaten the 12.5 percent rate, the government has promised to stand by executives it says are helping the economy.

“To do anything else, it would be like eating the seed potatoes,” Noonan told broadcaster RTE on Tuesday, adding a failure to fight the case would hurt future generations.

No Deal

Apple and Ireland deny any wrongdoing and say no sweetheart deal was ever agreed. The iPhone-maker is one of more than 700 U.S. companies that have units there, employing a combined 140,000 people, according to the American Chamber of Commerce in Ireland.

For Apple, the arrears are a drop in its vast ocean of cash. As of last month, Apple had $232 billion, with about $214 billion of that held overseas. The company generated about $4.45 billion a month last year, so the arrears figure works out to about three months of profit.

For a quick wrap of analyst commentary on Apple today, click here.

“It’s all about our reputation,” said Peter Vale, tax partner at Grant Thornton Ireland in Dublin. “It’s not the number that is a problem per se, it is the implication that Ireland engages in some kind of funny business around tax, the idea that we give special deals and so on.”

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The government maintains that even if it were to take the cash, European rules mean it would have to use the money to pay down some of its 180 billion euros of national debt rather than fund spending. Yet, with Ireland’s health service creaking, pressure is beginning to mount for the government to change course. Opposition party Sinn Fein said the government shouldn’t appeal any adverse ruling, saying the idea was “farcical.”

The government “will actively try to avoid recouping tax revenue owed to the Irish people,” Matt Carthy, a Sinn Fein member of the European Parliament said in a statement. “There is no justification to challenge a ruling against this deal, and the government should immediately rule out an appeal.”

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